Sud América vs Cerro CA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
33.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
SUD
1 - 2
DEF
33%
27%
40%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
JUN
0 - 0
SUD
44%
28%
28%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
SUD
0 - 2
FEN
42%
28%
30%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
PLA
0 - 3
SUD
49%
27%
24%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
SUD
0 - 2
CER
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Cerro CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
CER
4 - 3
ETS
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
DEF
1 - 1
CER
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
UNI
2 - 0
CER
55%
22%
23%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
CER
1 - 0
RAC
48%
26%
27%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
CER
2 - 3
UNI
35%
26%
39%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |