Sud América vs Cerro CA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
24.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
SUD
73%
18%
9%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
SUD
2 - 2
FEN
35%
29%
36%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
REN
3 - 1
SUD
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
SUD
0 - 1
NAC
18%
24%
58%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
JUN
1 - 2
SUD
49%
26%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Cerro CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
CER
0 - 3
DEF
24%
26%
50%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
TAC
4 - 0
CER
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
CER
1 - 3
JUV
47%
25%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
RAC
4 - 1
CER
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
PEÑ
3 - 0
CER
70%
19%
11%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | -1 |