Sud América vs Cerro Largo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
30.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
CSM
0 - 1
SUD
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
SUD
0 - 2
NAC
17%
24%
59%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
FEN
4 - 1
SUD
51%
25%
23%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
SUD
3 - 0
JUV
50%
26%
25%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
SUD
0 - 1
DAN
37%
28%
35%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
CEL
2 - 1
ETS
48%
27%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
MWA
4 - 0
CEL
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
CEL
2 - 2
RIV
26%
25%
49%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2014 |
DAN
1 - 1
CEL
60%
22%
17%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
CEL
1 - 0
PEÑ
17%
22%
61%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | +1 |