Sud América vs Atenas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
29%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
3º
13º
13º
36
7º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
JUN
1 - 1
SUD
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
SUD
1 - 1
ORI
33%
27%
40%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
CAL
0 - 2
SUD
5%
11%
84%
|
62 | 9 | 53 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CSC
2 - 1
SUD
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SUD
1 - 1
POT
57%
25%
19%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Atenas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ATE
1 - 2
JUV
37%
29%
34%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
CAJ
1 - 1
ATE
6%
14%
80%
|
65 | 10 | 55 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
ATE
1 - 0
TAC
34%
28%
38%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
JUN
1 - 0
ATE
55%
26%
19%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
ATE
0 - 1
ORI
37%
28%
35%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |