1a B Ap. Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 3-3
Sucre FC vs Uniautónoma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
53.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sucre FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2011 |
UNI
3 - 1
SFC
69%
18%
13%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2011 |
SFC
1 - 2
AFC
41%
25%
34%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2011 |
CAL
3 - 1
SFC
83%
12%
5%
|
55 | 81 | 26 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
SFC
0 - 0
PAS
21%
25%
55%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
AME
1 - 2
SFC
72%
17%
11%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Uniautónoma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2011 |
UNI
3 - 1
SFC
69%
18%
13%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 0
COR
56%
25%
20%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
FOR
3 - 1
UNI
37%
27%
37%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
UNI
4 - 1
UNI
64%
22%
14%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 2
UNI
26%
24%
51%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |