Sucre FC vs Independiente Medellín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
49.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sucre FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2012 |
FOR
2 - 1
SFC
52%
24%
24%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
SFC
2 - 0
REA
40%
27%
33%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2012 |
AGU
1 - 1
SFC
74%
17%
9%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
UNI
3 - 0
SFC
45%
27%
28%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -2 |
| 03 May. 2012 |
SFC
2 - 2
NAC
16%
23%
61%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2012 |
JUN
1 - 0
IND
63%
21%
17%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
CUC
1 - 2
IND
30%
28%
42%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2012 |
RIO
2 - 0
IND
33%
26%
41%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
IND
0 - 1
TOL
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
MIL
2 - 1
IND
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |