Sucre FC vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
61.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sucre FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 0
SFC
34%
27%
39%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
SFC
1 - 1
UNI
36%
28%
36%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
PER
1 - 2
SFC
60%
23%
18%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
SFC
2 - 0
ENV
22%
24%
54%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | +2 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
SFC
1 - 1
ACA
39%
28%
33%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2012 |
NAC
0 - 1
VEL
40%
26%
34%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 2
HUI
63%
22%
15%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2012 |
SFE
2 - 2
NAC
41%
26%
34%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
UCH
2 - 1
NAC
36%
24%
40%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 0
PAT
76%
17%
8%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |