Subiza vs Tudelano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
58.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
15º
18º
18º
7
4º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
7º
|
5 | 69 |
1º
|
40% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 65 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 59 |
3º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 58 |
4º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 57 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 55 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
|
4º
|
7 | 54 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 47 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 46 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
1º
|
9 | 46 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 42 |
11º
|
6% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 42 |
12º
|
6.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 41 |
13º
|
8% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 39 |
14º
|
7.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 34 |
15º
|
9% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 33 |
16º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 32 |
17º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
0 | 25 |
18º
|
35% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 35.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
8% | 47% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
4.5% | 5.5% |
|
Relegation
|
87% | 7% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Subiza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
EJE
3 - 2
SUB
56%
24%
20%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
UDM
1 - 0
SUB
43%
25%
32%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
SUB
2 - 0
SJU
35%
25%
41%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
SUB
0 - 3
EIB
68%
18%
15%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
SUB
39%
25%
36%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tudelano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
TUD
2 - 1
BAR
50%
26%
24%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
TUD
0 - 5
NUM
26%
25%
49%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
CFB
0 - 0
TUD
10%
18%
72%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
TUD
0 - 1
ZAR
32%
25%
43%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
EJE
2 - 1
TUD
19%
22%
58%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |