Subiza vs Oberena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
14.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Subiza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
COR
0 - 1
SUB
54%
23%
24%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
SUB
2 - 1
RIV
67%
17%
16%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
IDO
1 - 2
SUB
46%
24%
30%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
SUB
1 - 1
CHA
53%
21%
26%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
CDC
1 - 1
SUB
33%
24%
43%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Oberena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
OBE
1 - 0
SJU
21%
25%
54%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
CDI
2 - 0
OBE
65%
18%
17%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2017 |
OBE
1 - 2
ATL
23%
25%
52%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
OBE
0 - 0
PAM
41%
26%
34%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
COR
3 - 1
OBE
66%
20%
15%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |