Subiza vs Murchante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
19%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-85%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Subiza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
COR
3 - 0
SUB
51%
23%
25%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
SUB
0 - 1
VAL
37%
24%
39%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
CDB
1 - 4
SUB
37%
23%
40%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
SUB
2 - 3
CHA
44%
23%
34%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
PAM
1 - 0
SUB
57%
22%
22%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Murchante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
MUR
0 - 2
PAM
22%
25%
54%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
PEÑ
1 - 4
MUR
87%
9%
4%
|
15 | 29 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
MUR
0 - 5
SJU
15%
23%
62%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
MUR
2 - 0
LOU
33%
25%
42%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
ATL
3 - 2
MUR
74%
16%
10%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |