Subiza vs Lourdes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
17.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Subiza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
ATL
3 - 0
SUB
50%
23%
27%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
SUB
1 - 1
BET
33%
25%
43%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
FON
1 - 2
SUB
17%
19%
65%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2019 |
SUB
1 - 2
HUA
51%
23%
26%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
BUR
0 - 1
SUB
47%
24%
30%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Lourdes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
LOU
0 - 1
PAM
34%
25%
42%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
LOU
87%
9%
4%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
LOU
1 - 1
SJU
22%
24%
54%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2019 |
CHA
4 - 0
LOU
68%
18%
14%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
ATL
1 - 1
LOU
66%
19%
15%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |