Subingen vs Lenzburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
32.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Subingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
FCG
1 - 3
SUB
16%
19%
66%
|
21 | 8 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
SUB
1 - 0
HON
25%
21%
54%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | +2 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
KRU
3 - 1
SUB
37%
23%
40%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
SUB
0 - 1
OLT
46%
21%
33%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
AAR
1 - 1
SUB
71%
15%
14%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lenzburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
LEN
6 - 0
JUV
72%
16%
12%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
WOH
6 - 2
LEN
50%
21%
29%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -2 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
PAJ
6 - 3
LEN
65%
18%
17%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
LEN
1 - 2
RSZ
24%
21%
55%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
ZOF
1 - 2
LEN
78%
13%
9%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +1 |