Subingen vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
4-1
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.3%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.4%
1-0
1.5%
2-1
0.8%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
2.5%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.4%
87.6%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
15.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
15.1%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
19.9%
0-4
10.9%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
13.6%
0-5
6.3%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
7.5%
0-6
3%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0%
-6
3.5%
0-7
1.2%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.4%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Subingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
SUB
0 - 2
FCK
9%
15%
76%
|
12 | 41 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
TAV
2 - 0
SUB
87%
9%
4%
|
12 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
SUB
1 - 2
FCK
15%
19%
66%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
BIN
2 - 0
SUB
83%
12%
5%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
SUB
4 - 1
TIM
19%
18%
62%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SER
0 - 6
BAS
39%
25%
36%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
GCZ
0 - 3
BAS
29%
24%
48%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
BAS
1 - 2
LUG
38%
25%
37%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
LAU
3 - 2
BAS
27%
24%
49%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
BAS
1 - 1
ULM
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |