CAF Qualifying Ronda Preliminar Final
Global 0-6
Eswatini vs Seychelles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
31.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eswatini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
SYC
3 - 0
SWZ
37%
24%
39%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
COD
5 - 1
SWZ
77%
16%
8%
|
48 | 72 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
SWZ
1 - 3
COD
13%
21%
66%
|
48 | 71 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
SWZ
0 - 1
CGO
18%
25%
58%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
GHA
2 - 0
SWZ
78%
16%
6%
|
48 | 84 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Seychelles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
SYC
3 - 0
SWZ
37%
24%
39%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2011 |
MDV
2 - 1
SYC
69%
17%
14%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2011 |
MDV
3 - 0
SYC
67%
18%
15%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
KEN
4 - 0
SYC
70%
19%
12%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
SYC
0 - 3
KEN
27%
25%
48%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | -1 |