CHAN Tercera Ronda Final
Global 2-3
Eswatini vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.9%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
70.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eswatini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
SWZ
0 - 0
DJI
62%
20%
18%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
DJI
2 - 1
SWZ
14%
17%
69%
|
49 | 28 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
ANG
1 - 1
SWZ
69%
21%
11%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
SWZ
1 - 1
ANG
14%
22%
64%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2019 |
SWZ
2 - 2
COM
65%
21%
14%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
ZAM
3 - 2
BOT
70%
20%
10%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2019 |
BOT
0 - 0
ZAM
19%
25%
56%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2019 |
ZAM
1 - 4
CIV
28%
27%
45%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 3
ZAM
71%
19%
10%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
CMR
2 - 1
ZAM
61%
24%
15%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |