Eswatini vs Mali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.7%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.6%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
70.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.4%
0-2
15.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eswatini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
GNB
1 - 0
SWZ
43%
24%
33%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2024 |
RSA
1 - 0
SWZ
73%
19%
9%
|
52 | 78 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
MOZ
0 - 0
SWZ
54%
25%
21%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
SWZ
0 - 0
BOT
34%
28%
38%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
MUS
2 - 1
SWZ
12%
20%
68%
|
52 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
MLI
1 - 1
MOZ
73%
17%
9%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
MAD
0 - 0
MLI
23%
26%
51%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
MLI
1 - 2
GHA
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
MLI
2 - 0
NGA
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
MTN
0 - 2
MLI
22%
26%
52%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | +1 |