Dives vs Alençon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
36.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dives
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
OIS
2 - 2
DIV
71%
18%
12%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
COU
2 - 2
DIV
27%
24%
49%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -2 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
DIV
4 - 2
CHA
68%
17%
15%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
CSL
3 - 1
DIV
65%
19%
16%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
DIV
0 - 1
SAE
33%
25%
42%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Alençon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
ALE
0 - 0
SAI
66%
18%
16%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
ALE
1 - 1
DRA
21%
24%
56%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
BON
1 - 5
ALE
14%
18%
68%
|
28 | 11 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
GRA
5 - 3
ALE
53%
24%
24%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
ALE
3 - 4
ROU
37%
25%
38%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |