Dives vs Caen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
47.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+79%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dives
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
DIV
1 - 1
ALE
42%
21%
36%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
OIS
2 - 2
DIV
71%
18%
12%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
COU
2 - 2
DIV
27%
24%
49%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -2 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
DIV
4 - 2
CHA
68%
17%
15%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
CSL
3 - 1
DIV
65%
19%
16%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Caen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
SAI
1 - 0
CAE
24%
22%
54%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
CAE
2 - 0
GON
88%
8%
4%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
CAE
1 - 0
UJA
74%
16%
10%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
DRO
1 - 3
CAE
44%
24%
32%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
CAE
2 - 3
AVO
41%
26%
33%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |