Dives vs Brétigny Foot analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
38.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
1º
9º
6º
24
2º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 52 |
1º
|
70% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 44 |
2º
|
14.5% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 44 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
|
2º
|
24 | 42 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 41 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
|
9º
|
19 | 40 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 39 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 39 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 38 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 28 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 26 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 25 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 24 |
13º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 23 |
14º
|
38% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1.5% | 7% |
|
Mid-table
|
94% | 86% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2.5% | 5% |
|
Relegation
|
2% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dives
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CAE
0 - 2
DIV
38%
23%
39%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
DIV
2 - 2
QUE
69%
18%
13%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
CAE
2 - 1
DIV
61%
20%
19%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
DIV
1 - 2
ALE
46%
23%
31%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 2
DIV
48%
22%
31%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Brétigny Foot
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
BRE
2 - 1
GRQ
76%
15%
9%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
BRE
0 - 3
SML
31%
28%
41%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -2 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
IVR
1 - 2
BRE
29%
25%
46%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
BRE
0 - 1
SAR
62%
20%
18%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
BAS
2 - 2
BRE
33%
24%
43%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |