Dives vs Bastia II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
23.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
1º
9º
7º
22
2º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 52 |
1º
|
75.5% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 46 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 42 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 41 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 39 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 39 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
|
9º
|
19 | 39 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 38 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
|
6º
|
22 | 37 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 28 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 28 |
11º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 26 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 24 |
13º
|
20% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 23 |
14º
|
35.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
87.5% | 78% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
5% | 11.5% |
|
Relegation
|
6.5% | 9.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dives
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2025 |
CAN
5 - 3
DIV
83%
12%
5%
|
37 | 63 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
DIV
3 - 2
FBB
19%
24%
57%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | +2 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
BRE
1 - 1
DIV
52%
23%
25%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
DIV
1 - 1
AJA
50%
23%
28%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2025 |
DIV
1 - 0
LPV
8%
17%
74%
|
33 | 66 | 33 | +1 |
Matches
Bastia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
BAS
1 - 0
GRQ
67%
18%
15%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
BAS
1 - 2
BRE
44%
24%
33%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
CAE
2 - 2
BAS
32%
23%
45%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
BAS
3 - 1
AJA
41%
23%
36%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +2 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 0
BAS
44%
22%
34%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |