SU Agen vs PSG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.5%
Win probability
0.33
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.1%
+2
0.8%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
1.2%
3-2
0.1%
+1
5.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
20.9%
72.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
21.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
28.8%
0-2
19%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
23%
0-3
11.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.2%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SU Agen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
SAG
2 - 2
BLA
40%
27%
33%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
SAG
2 - 0
POI
28%
26%
46%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +3 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
SAI
2 - 0
SAG
37%
26%
37%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -2 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
SAG
0 - 0
TOU
28%
28%
44%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
MON
2 - 1
SAG
51%
26%
23%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2011 |
MPL
1 - 0
PSG
34%
29%
37%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
PSG
2 - 1
SOC
69%
19%
12%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
PSG
5 - 1
LEN
64%
21%
15%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2010 |
ASN
2 - 0
PSG
32%
28%
41%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
PSG
2 - 2
MON
64%
21%
15%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |