Europa League 1/16
Global 6-0
Stuttgart vs Zenit analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
9.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stuttgart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1989 |
FCN
0 - 2
STU
36%
26%
37%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1989 |
STU
3 - 1
BVB
53%
25%
23%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1989 |
ZEN
0 - 1
STU
10%
26%
64%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1989 |
BRE
6 - 1
STU
55%
24%
22%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1989 |
STU
4 - 0
STP
68%
19%
13%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Zenit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1989 |
ZEN
0 - 1
STU
10%
26%
64%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1989 |
NAE
0 - 0
ZEN
22%
22%
56%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1989 |
ZEN
3 - 1
NAE
84%
11%
5%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1987 |
BRU
5 - 0
ZEN
84%
10%
6%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1987 |
ZEN
2 - 0
BRU
39%
24%
37%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |