Europa League Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Stuttgart vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
22.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stuttgart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1974 |
KAI
4 - 0
STU
48%
24%
29%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1974 |
STU
0 - 1
MSV
75%
15%
10%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1974 |
KOL
5 - 2
STU
67%
18%
15%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1974 |
STU
3 - 1
EIN
56%
22%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1974 |
HAN
3 - 0
STU
39%
25%
36%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1974 |
VST
6 - 1
LEX
80%
14%
6%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1974 |
BOA
0 - 1
VST
26%
28%
46%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1974 |
VST
0 - 0
BMA
81%
13%
6%
|
87 | 57 | 30 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 1974 |
VST
1 - 1
FCB
82%
13%
6%
|
87 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1974 |
OLH
0 - 0
VST
18%
28%
54%
|
87 | 56 | 31 | 0 |