DFB Pokal 1/16
Global 5-1
Stuttgart vs VfR Heilbronn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.8%
Win probability
3.29
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.4%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.3%
7.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stuttgart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1971 |
F95
4 - 0
STU
32%
27%
41%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1971 |
HEI
1 - 1
STU
25%
21%
55%
|
80 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1971 |
STU
0 - 1
S04
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1971 |
BVB
0 - 4
STU
50%
24%
27%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1971 |
STU
4 - 4
EIN
55%
23%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
VfR Heilbronn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1971 |
ING
0 - 3
HEI
43%
24%
34%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1971 |
HEI
1 - 2
BAY
44%
26%
30%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1971 |
HEI
1 - 1
STU
25%
21%
55%
|
58 | 80 | 22 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1971 |
HES
6 - 0
HEI
65%
20%
15%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1971 |
HEI
1 - 2
FRE
54%
24%
21%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |