DFB Pokal Last 16
Global 2-2
Stuttgart vs 1. FC Saarbrücken analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.2%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
7.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stuttgart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1984 |
STU
5 - 0
KSC
73%
15%
12%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1984 |
LEV
0 - 2
STU
33%
25%
43%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1984 |
STU
1 - 2
RTV
76%
14%
9%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1984 |
BOC
1 - 2
STU
13%
20%
67%
|
85 | 38 | 47 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1984 |
MON
2 - 1
STU
58%
20%
22%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
1. FC Saarbrücken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1984 |
WAT
1 - 2
SAA
52%
24%
25%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1984 |
SAA
2 - 1
AAA
51%
25%
25%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1984 |
ROT
2 - 1
SAA
44%
25%
31%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1984 |
SAA
4 - 1
FCN
64%
18%
18%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 1984 |
SAA
4 - 1
STP
64%
20%
16%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |