Stuttgart vs RB Leipzig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
49.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
4º
18º
5º
33
2º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 86 |
1º
|
97% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 75 |
2º
|
94% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 60 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 60 |
4º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 58 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 55 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 51 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 49 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 48 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 47 |
10º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 45 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 39 |
12º
|
36.5% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 36 |
13º
|
30.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 33 |
14º
|
30% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 33 |
15º
|
27% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 26 |
16º
|
34% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 24 |
17º
|
34.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 22 |
18º
|
51% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
37% | 69% |
|
Europa League
|
22.5% | 15.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
23% | 8.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
17.5% | 7% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stuttgart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
AUG
0 - 1
STU
17%
20%
63%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
STU
2 - 2
AJA
65%
19%
17%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
STU
0 - 1
STP
70%
17%
12%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
HEI
1 - 3
STU
19%
21%
60%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2024 |
STU
5 - 1
YOB
77%
15%
9%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
RB Leipzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
RBL
4 - 2
BRE
71%
18%
12%
|
97 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2025 |
RBL
10 - 0
BMS
88%
10%
3%
|
97 | 51 | 46 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
BYM
5 - 1
RBL
60%
21%
19%
|
97 | 100 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
RBL
2 - 1
EIN
56%
22%
22%
|
97 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2024 |
RBL
2 - 3
ASV
67%
20%
14%
|
97 | 92 | 5 | 0 |