UEFA Intertoto Cup Last 16
Global 3-0
Stuttgart vs Lokeren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
17.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stuttgart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2002 |
STU
4 - 3
KAI
40%
25%
35%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
MUN
3 - 3
STU
49%
23%
27%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
MON
2 - 2
STU
40%
26%
35%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
STU
0 - 0
COT
62%
22%
17%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
SCF
0 - 2
STU
40%
26%
35%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Lokeren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2002 |
WIT
3 - 2
LOK
21%
25%
54%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2002 |
LOK
3 - 1
WIT
62%
22%
17%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
GNK
3 - 3
LOK
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
LOK
0 - 1
AND
27%
25%
47%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
RAA
0 - 1
LOK
32%
26%
43%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |