Q. Europa League Playoffs Final
Global 3-1
Stuttgart vs Dinamo Moskva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stuttgart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
FAL
0 - 5
STU
4%
11%
84%
|
86 | 16 | 70 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
STU
1 - 2
BET
54%
23%
23%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
MUN
1 - 2
STU
20%
22%
58%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
STU
4 - 0
FSV
78%
14%
8%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
STU
3 - 2
WOL
58%
22%
20%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Dinamo Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
DIN
1 - 2
TER
64%
21%
15%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
FCR
2 - 0
DIN
50%
26%
24%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
DIN
5 - 0
DUN
56%
22%
22%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
DIN
0 - 4
SPA
43%
25%
32%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2012 |
DUN
2 - 2
DIN
36%
28%
37%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |