Stuttgart vs B. Mönchengladbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
21%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
4º
18º
5º
31
6º
15º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 86 |
1º
|
97% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 75 |
2º
|
94% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 60 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 60 |
4º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 58 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 55 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 51 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
31 | 49 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 48 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 47 |
10º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 45 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 39 |
12º
|
36.5% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 36 |
13º
|
30.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 33 |
14º
|
30% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 33 |
15º
|
27% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 26 |
16º
|
34% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 24 |
17º
|
34.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 22 |
18º
|
51% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
37% | 3% |
|
Europa League
|
22.5% | 6.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
23% | 5% |
|
Mid-table
|
17.5% | 85.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stuttgart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
STU
1 - 4
PSG
29%
22%
50%
|
94 | 96 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
M05
2 - 0
STU
22%
23%
55%
|
95 | 91 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
SBR
1 - 3
STU
10%
17%
73%
|
94 | 79 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
STU
4 - 0
SCF
59%
22%
20%
|
94 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
STU
2 - 1
RBL
28%
23%
50%
|
94 | 98 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
B. Mönchengladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
MON
3 - 0
RTV
58%
22%
20%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
LEV
3 - 1
MON
74%
16%
10%
|
90 | 99 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2025 |
WOL
5 - 1
MON
38%
25%
38%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
MON
0 - 1
BYM
6%
11%
83%
|
91 | 100 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
MON
2 - 2
NEC
63%
20%
16%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | +1 |