Stuttgart vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
51.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
5º
18º
5º
7
1º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
9 | 85 |
1º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 74 |
2º
|
33.5% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 73 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
7 | 72 |
4º
|
31% | |
|
|
9º
|
4 | 58 |
5º
|
35% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 52 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 51 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 43 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 43 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 40 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 40 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 39 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 38 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 36 |
14º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 31 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 28 |
16º
|
10% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 27 |
17º
|
16.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 25 |
18º
|
27.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 7.5% |
|
Champions League
|
16% | 78.5% |
|
Europa League
|
35% | 10.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
22% | 3% |
|
Mid-table
|
27% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stuttgart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
RMA
3 - 1
STU
71%
17%
12%
|
92 | 100 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
MON
1 - 3
STU
25%
23%
52%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
STU
4 - 1
KAI
77%
15%
9%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
STU
3 - 3
M05
61%
21%
18%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
PRE
0 - 5
STU
12%
18%
70%
|
92 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
BRU
0 - 3
BVB
14%
19%
67%
|
97 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
BVB
4 - 2
HEI
78%
14%
7%
|
97 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BRE
0 - 0
BVB
12%
17%
71%
|
96 | 86 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BVB
2 - 0
EIN
66%
19%
15%
|
96 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
FCP
1 - 4
BVB
8%
15%
77%
|
96 | 58 | 38 | 0 |