Stuttgart vs Arminia Bielefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
14.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stuttgart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
STU
3 - 1
KSC
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2008 |
CVA
1 - 2
STU
27%
26%
47%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
HOF
0 - 0
STU
23%
23%
54%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
STU
2 - 0
HAN
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2008 |
GYO
1 - 4
STU
36%
24%
41%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
ARB
2 - 0
KOL
44%
26%
31%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
RTV
2 - 0
ARB
58%
22%
20%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
ARB
2 - 4
HSV
27%
28%
45%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
HER
1 - 1
ARB
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
ARB
2 - 2
BRE
16%
21%
63%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |