Bundesliga Playoffs Promotion Final
Global 2-2
Stuttgart vs Union Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
31.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stuttgart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2019 |
S04
0 - 0
STU
54%
24%
23%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
STU
3 - 0
WOL
24%
25%
51%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
HER
3 - 1
STU
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
STU
1 - 0
MON
19%
23%
58%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
AUG
6 - 0
STU
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2019 |
RTV
2 - 2
FCU
29%
25%
46%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
FCU
3 - 0
MAG
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
DAR
2 - 1
FCU
27%
25%
49%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
FCU
2 - 0
HSV
39%
25%
36%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
SGF
1 - 1
FCU
27%
25%
49%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |