Europa League Last 16
Global 4-5
Stuttgart vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
16.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stuttgart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1980 |
STU
2 - 0
FCN
78%
14%
8%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1980 |
STU
3 - 2
HSV
47%
23%
31%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1980 |
KSC
0 - 0
STU
30%
24%
45%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1980 |
FVF
1 - 2
STU
31%
25%
44%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1980 |
LEV
1 - 1
STU
25%
25%
50%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1980 |
BYM
1 - 1
KOL
70%
16%
13%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1980 |
KOL
3 - 0
KFC
76%
15%
10%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1980 |
FCB
0 - 4
KOL
54%
23%
24%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1980 |
MON
2 - 0
KOL
53%
22%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1980 |
SCF
3 - 1
KOL
20%
21%
59%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |