Sturt Lions vs West Torrens Birkalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
32%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturt Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2018 |
ADE
4 - 0
SLF
91%
6%
2%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
NEM
5 - 3
SLF
86%
9%
4%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
SLF
2 - 0
ADE
6%
12%
81%
|
14 | 37 | 23 | +5 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
PAR
4 - 0
SLF
76%
14%
10%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
ADO
2 - 2
SLF
83%
11%
6%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
West Torrens Birkalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
WES
0 - 1
PAR
48%
23%
29%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
WES
2 - 3
CAM
15%
20%
65%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
WES
0 - 1
SAP
64%
18%
18%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
CRO
4 - 4
WES
61%
21%
19%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
WES
0 - 2
ADE
13%
18%
69%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | -1 |