Sturm Graz vs First Vienna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1979 |
LIN
0 - 0
STR
61%
23%
17%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1979 |
STR
0 - 0
AUS
31%
26%
44%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1979 |
RBS
2 - 1
STR
57%
21%
21%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1979 |
RBS
2 - 1
STR
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1979 |
GRA
1 - 0
STR
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
First Vienna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1979 |
VIE
0 - 0
WIE
48%
25%
28%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1979 |
LAS
2 - 1
VIE
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1979 |
VIE
1 - 0
RAP
41%
25%
33%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1979 |
3 - 0
VIE
61%
23%
17%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1979 |
VIE
4 - 1
53%
25%
21%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |