Sturm Graz vs Union Wels analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
16.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1983 |
GRA
2 - 1
STR
43%
27%
30%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1983 |
STR
2 - 1
VIE
71%
19%
11%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1983 |
LAS
0 - 0
STR
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1983 |
STR
0 - 0
RAP
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1983 |
SSW
3 - 1
STR
57%
23%
21%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Union Wels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1983 |
WEL
3 - 0
51%
25%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1983 |
WIE
3 - 0
WEL
63%
20%
17%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1983 |
WEL
1 - 1
LIN
52%
26%
23%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1983 |
AUS
4 - 0
WEL
77%
13%
10%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1983 |
WEL
3 - 0
AUK
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |