Sturm Graz vs SV Pasching analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
8.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
MAT
1 - 1
STR
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
AUS
3 - 0
STR
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
STR
0 - 2
AUS
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
RBS
1 - 0
STR
49%
25%
27%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
STR
0 - 0
SWB
56%
22%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
SV Pasching
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
SVP
2 - 1
RBS
22%
26%
53%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
SWB
2 - 3
SVP
79%
14%
7%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
SVP
4 - 0
SWB
19%
24%
56%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
WIN
2 - 1
SVP
75%
17%
8%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
SVP
2 - 1
RAP
15%
26%
59%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | +2 |