UEFA Intertoto Cup Semi-finals
Global 2-0
Sturm Graz vs Shakhtyor Soligorsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
STR
3 - 1
AUK
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
LAS
1 - 2
STR
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
STR
2 - 0
WIN
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
RBS
3 - 0
STR
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
STR
1 - 2
AUS
49%
27%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Shakhtyor Soligorsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2008 |
DNM
1 - 0
SHA
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2008 |
SHA
3 - 0
CRA
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2008 |
SHA
0 - 2
DIN
71%
19%
11%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
CRA
1 - 2
SHA
53%
25%
23%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2008 |
PMI
1 - 1
SHA
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |