Sturm Graz vs Servette analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
24.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 1999 |
STR
2 - 2
AUS
68%
19%
13%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1999 |
STR
2 - 1
RIE
73%
17%
10%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 1999 |
STR
5 - 0
GRA
57%
24%
20%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 1999 |
RAP
0 - 0
STR
45%
26%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1999 |
SWB
1 - 4
STR
24%
25%
51%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 1999 |
SER
1 - 1
BAS
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1999 |
FCA
3 - 2
SER
25%
26%
50%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 1999 |
SER
3 - 0
ZUR
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 1999 |
LAU
0 - 1
SER
56%
23%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 1999 |
SER
1 - 0
FCL
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |