Europa League 1/32
Global 0-1
Sturm Graz vs Servette analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
35.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1988 |
STR
2 - 5
WIE
54%
23%
23%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1988 |
VSE
1 - 0
STR
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1988 |
STR
2 - 3
VSE
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1988 |
STR
2 - 3
LAS
65%
20%
15%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1988 |
WIE
1 - 2
STR
66%
19%
15%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1988 |
SER
2 - 3
BEL
72%
17%
11%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1988 |
SIO
2 - 1
SER
53%
23%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1988 |
LAU
1 - 4
SER
44%
25%
32%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1988 |
SER
1 - 1
LUG
67%
19%
14%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1988 |
SER
1 - 0
STR
68%
17%
15%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |