Sturm Graz vs Austria Lustenau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.4%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.5%
4.1%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2000 |
GRA
2 - 4
STR
42%
27%
31%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2000 |
STR
4 - 1
TIR
59%
21%
19%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2000 |
RAP
2 - 3
STR
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2000 |
STR
3 - 1
RBS
61%
21%
18%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
SWB
1 - 0
STR
24%
26%
50%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Austria Lustenau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2000 |
SCA
1 - 2
AUS
24%
28%
49%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2000 |
RIE
4 - 2
SCA
74%
17%
9%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2000 |
TIR
1 - 0
SCA
75%
17%
8%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2000 |
SCA
0 - 4
SWB
39%
27%
35%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
GRA
2 - 0
SCA
71%
19%
10%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |