Sturm Graz vs Austria Lustenau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1999 |
GRA
1 - 2
STR
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1999 |
TIR
3 - 1
STR
45%
26%
29%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1999 |
STR
0 - 1
GRA
56%
24%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1999 |
RAP
2 - 0
STR
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1999 |
STR
5 - 0
VOR
81%
13%
6%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Austria Lustenau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1999 |
SCA
0 - 1
LAS
26%
23%
51%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1999 |
SCA
0 - 0
AUS
36%
27%
37%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1999 |
LAS
2 - 0
SCA
68%
20%
12%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1999 |
TIR
0 - 0
SCA
72%
18%
10%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1999 |
SCA
2 - 1
GRA
29%
28%
43%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | +1 |