Sturm Graz vs Austria Lustenau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
10.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 1998 |
RIE
0 - 1
STR
36%
26%
39%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1998 |
STR
2 - 0
AUS
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1998 |
RIE
3 - 1
STR
32%
26%
43%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 May. 1998 |
STR
2 - 0
AWM
71%
18%
11%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | +1 |
| 12 May. 1998 |
GRA
0 - 0
STR
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Austria Lustenau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 1998 |
SCA
2 - 2
TIR
26%
25%
49%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 1998 |
LAS
3 - 0
SCA
70%
19%
11%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 May. 1998 |
SCA
2 - 3
GRA
31%
28%
42%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1998 |
RAP
4 - 1
SCA
73%
17%
10%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1998 |
SCA
4 - 1
LAS
25%
25%
50%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +1 |