Sturm Graz vs Salzburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
32.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2009 |
STR
1 - 0
GAL
22%
23%
55%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
STR
2 - 2
AUS
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
STR
0 - 0
RBS
42%
27%
32%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2009 |
DBU
2 - 1
STR
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
LAS
2 - 2
STR
37%
26%
37%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Salzburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2009 |
VIL
0 - 1
RBS
74%
16%
10%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2009 |
RBS
1 - 0
AUK
74%
16%
10%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
STR
0 - 0
RBS
42%
27%
32%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2009 |
RBS
2 - 1
LAZ
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
RBS
0 - 0
RAP
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |