Sturm Graz vs Salzburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1978 |
AUS
4 - 1
STR
79%
13%
7%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1978 |
STR
2 - 0
SSW
41%
28%
30%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 1978 |
STR
3 - 2
WIE
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1978 |
3 - 1
STR
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1978 |
STR
4 - 0
JEN
77%
13%
10%
|
65 | 14 | 51 | 0 |
Matches
Salzburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1978 |
RBS
0 - 0
WIE
49%
27%
24%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1978 |
2 - 0
RBS
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1978 |
RBS
1 - 0
LIN
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1978 |
RAP
4 - 0
RBS
75%
16%
10%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1978 |
SWB
1 - 3
RBS
52%
22%
26%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |