Sturm Graz vs Rapid Wien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
31.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
10º
1º
28
2º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
37 | 44 |
1º
|
64.5% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 41 |
2º
|
45% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 36 |
3º
|
34% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 36 |
4º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
28 | 35 |
5º
|
27% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 31 |
6º
|
26.5% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 30 |
7º
|
28% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 28 |
8º
|
27.5% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 25 |
9º
|
27% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 23 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 22 |
11º
|
39.5% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 14 |
12º
|
93.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 92.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 7.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
STR
2 - 1
FCB
44%
24%
32%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
LAS
1 - 2
STR
43%
25%
33%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
STR
0 - 2
SCP
23%
23%
54%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
STR
5 - 2
GRA
46%
24%
30%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
STR
5 - 0
RBS
40%
25%
35%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Rapid Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
SVS
2 - 1
RAP
11%
17%
72%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
GRA
1 - 1
RAP
36%
25%
39%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2024 |
RAP
1 - 0
NOA
68%
19%
14%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
RAP
2 - 1
HAR
42%
24%
34%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
RAP
2 - 0
SVH
78%
14%
8%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |