Sturm Graz vs Rapid Wien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
36.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
4º
1º
28
2º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
44 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 17 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 17 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
28 | 12 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 11 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 5 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
100% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
HAR
1 - 3
STR
39%
26%
36%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
STR
1 - 0
LAS
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
RBS
3 - 4
STR
47%
24%
30%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
STR
0 - 1
RBS
40%
25%
34%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
STR
0 - 2
FCB
51%
23%
26%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Rapid Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
RAP
1 - 1
SKA
41%
24%
35%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
RBS
1 - 1
RAP
41%
25%
34%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
LBN
0 - 3
RAP
17%
21%
62%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
HAR
0 - 3
RAP
39%
25%
36%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
RAP
3 - 0
VIE
72%
17%
10%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |