Sturm Graz vs Rapid Wien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
24.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2003 |
SWB
2 - 1
STR
42%
24%
34%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2003 |
MAT
3 - 1
STR
26%
25%
50%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2003 |
STR
0 - 0
FCK
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2003 |
STR
0 - 1
RAP
57%
23%
21%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
AWM
2 - 1
STR
27%
25%
48%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Rapid Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2003 |
RAP
1 - 0
AWM
64%
22%
15%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2003 |
RBS
1 - 2
RAP
54%
25%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2003 |
RAP
4 - 2
55%
25%
20%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2003 |
STR
0 - 1
RAP
57%
23%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
RAP
2 - 1
FCK
49%
26%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |