Q. Europa League Tercera Ronda Final
Global 7-1
Sturm Graz vs Petrovac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
9.5%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
STR
2 - 0
MAT
57%
24%
18%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2009 |
PET
1 - 2
STR
18%
22%
61%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
STR
3 - 0
WIE
58%
24%
19%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2009 |
SIR
1 - 1
STR
33%
26%
41%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2009 |
STR
2 - 1
SIR
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Petrovac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2009 |
PET
1 - 2
STR
18%
22%
61%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2009 |
PET
3 - 1
ANO
19%
23%
58%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | +2 |
| 16 Jul. 2009 |
ANO
2 - 1
PET
74%
17%
9%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
PET
0 - 3
SUT
40%
28%
32%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
BUD
6 - 1
PET
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |