Europa League 1/16
Global 4-5
Sturm Graz vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
49.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1999 |
STR
3 - 1
RAP
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1999 |
PAR
2 - 1
STR
73%
18%
9%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1999 |
LAS
1 - 1
STR
40%
26%
33%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1999 |
STR
3 - 1
SWB
77%
15%
8%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1999 |
RBS
0 - 0
STR
45%
26%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
PAR
4 - 1
TOR
73%
18%
9%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1999 |
CAG
1 - 0
PAR
22%
26%
52%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
ACM
2 - 1
PAR
41%
26%
34%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1999 |
PAR
2 - 1
STR
73%
18%
9%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
PAR
3 - 1
CAG
67%
19%
13%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |